In Iowa, it’s all about who votes. Political expert Elaine Kamarck lists four different ways to consider turnout in Iowa. Read more about each:
  1. If more people than usual show up to the polls, it will benefit Trump on the Republican side and Sanders on the Democratic side.
  2. If there’s a political revolution in either party, it will be the result of voters coming out to caucus who don’t traditionally participate.
  3. Clinton could beat Sanders based on geography.
  4. Some new voters may be turned off from coming out on caucus night.