My 2017 Oscar Predictions

As usual, these are entirely based on previous awards shows, industry buzz, gut feelings, and random guesses. Let's see how I do tonight!
  1. BEST PICTURE: La La Land
    IF NOT, THEN: Moonlight
  2. BEST ACTOR: Denzel Washington, Fences (I know, I'm predicting a HUGE upset here, but I'm going with my gut).
    IF NOT, THEN: Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
  3. BEST ACTRESS: Emma Stone, La La Land
    IF NOT, THEN: Natalie Portman, Jackie
  4. BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
    IF NOT, THEN: Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea
  5. BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Viola Davis, Fences
    IF NOT, THEN: Naomie Harris, Moonlight
  6. BEST DIRECTOR: Damian Chazelle, La La Land
    IF NOT, THEN: Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
  7. BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: Manchester by the Sea
    IF NOT, THEN: La La Land
  8. BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: Moonlight
    IF NOT, THEN: Arrival
  9. BEST ANIMATED FEATURE: Zootopia
    IF NOT, THEN: Kubo and the Two Strings
  10. BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM: The Salesman
    IF NOT, THEN: Toni Erdmann
  11. BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY: La La Land
    IF NOT, THEN: Moonlight
  12. BEST FILM EDITING: La La Land
    IF NOT, THEN: Moonlight
  13. BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN: La La Land
    IF NOT, THEN: Hail, Caesar!
  14. BEST COSTUME DESIGN: Florence Foster Jenkins
    IF NOT, THEN: Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
  15. BEST MAKEUP DESIGN: Star Trek Beyond
    IF NOT, THEN: Suicide Squad
  16. BEST ORIGINAL SCORE: La La Land
    IF NOT, THEN: Moonlight
  17. BEST ORIGINAL SONG: "How Far I'll Go," Moana
    IF NOT, THEN: "City of Stars" La La Land
  18. BEST SOUND MIXING: Hacksaw Ridge
    IF NOT, THEN: Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
  19. BEST SOUND EDITING: Hacksaw Ridge
    IF NOT, THEN: Arrival
  20. BEST VISUAL EFFECTS: The Jungle Book
    IF NOT, THEN: Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
  21. BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE: 13th
    IF NOT, THEN: OJ: Made in America
  22. BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT: Watani - My Homeland
    IF NOT, THEN: Extremis
  23. BEST ANIMATED SHORT: Borrowed Time
    IF NOT, THEN: Piper
  24. BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT: Sing
    IF NOT, THEN: Silent Nights