Predictions for the next four years

  1. A prominent journalist will be arrested for "dissent" - 95% certain
  2. The military will use non-lethal weapons on US citizens - 90% certain
  3. Some sort of sex scandal will come out of the White House - 75% certain
  4. A US embassy in Europe will be attacked - 50% certain
  5. No wall will be built - 80% certain