My Oscar 2016 Predictions and Dream Winners

I've seen a sizable majority of the nominees this year, so let's get down to it.
  1. BEST PICTURE
    I think it's going to be the Revenant. Which I don't love, if only for the fact that it spreads the idea that the best film took the most struggling, which seems to be something a lot of people agree with... I'd like it to be Spotlight, but really anything except The Martian, Bridge of Spies, and Brooklyn will work for me. Where were Carol, The Danish Girl, Inside Out, and so many others that could/should have been here instead?
  2. BEST DIRECTOR
    I'm torn here, but I THINK it's going to Iñárritu for The Revenant. I would love to see Miller take this one for Mad Max or McCarthy for Spotlight, but I feel like the Academy is gung-ho for this one.
  3. BEST ACTOR
    It's Leo's year... In part because this is a pretty weak showing all around. He honestly deserves it at this point (but let's not forget that Amy Adams has been nominated just as many times as Leo with much less public support). The Independent Spirit Awards last night had five completely different people, all of which would have been interesting and worthy of a nomination.
  4. BEST ACTRESS
    Brie Larson will win, and Brie Larson deserves to win. If Rooney Mara and Alicia Vikander were here instead of Supporting, like they should be, we could have a conversation... But it would probably still be Brie.
  5. BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
    We all know it's going to our boy Stallone, which I personally don't care for much, but I don't hate. I think a win for Mark Rylance (Bridge of Spies) would be the best upset, but I also very much enjoyed Ruffalo here.
  6. BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
    It is going to be Alicia Vikander. I would be happy with her or Rooney Mara winning, probably preferring Mara slightly, but I would be happier with both of them being nominated as leading actresses, which they WERE.
  7. BEST ANIMATED FILM
    INSIDE OUT, any other opinions are factually incorrect. I wish Anomalisa had a chance, though!
  8. BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
    I'm torn. It's going to The Revenant for sure, and it deserves to, but I want them to split the award with Carol because that movie was probably stylistically the most beautiful one I saw all year.
  9. BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
    I do not know. I just don't know. The Big Short seems like the front runner here, and it was very innovative, but I would like to see a surprise win for Room, Carol, or The Martian, all options that took interesting subject material and made it even more compelling than it originally was.
  10. BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
    It's going to Spotlight, unless the Academy wants to correct #OscarsSoWhite and don't think Stallone in Creed counts (which it doesn't). I would LOVE for Ex Machina or Inside Out to snatch this one, though, if not Spotlight.
  11. BEST ORIGINAL SONG
    I think Lady Gaga had this for her song in The Hunting Ground. I would love Simple Song #3 to win from Youth, but that seems very unlikely.
  12. BEST SCORE
    It's going to The Hateful Eight. And while Morricone is very deserving, it would be cool to see Burwell win for Carol, who did some of the best work of his career here but also excelled (with no Oscar nominations) in the Twilight series, Where the Wild Things Are, and almost all Coen Brother movies! Also I just want Carol to make up for its embarrassing lack of Best Picture nomination.